*Is* everything OK in oggedville?
1: Was there something about a boot camp? How's that going?
Well, the current Mrs Trump will be aging out in a few years (she's 46). And he'll be too busy being presidenting then to find a replacement, so he'll need to get one sorted out now.
"I asked Trump a question and he called me 'beautiful'" is absolutely not the same thing as having been hit on by Trump. Ogged was 100% right and we should all be ashamed of having doubted him.
I question his apparent need to post about this minor incident, rather than his accurate prognostication.
He's right on this yet deeply wrong.
Sometimes it's worth it to be deeply wrong, if you can also be right about just one thing.
So believes an ethical hedgehog.
But what does the ethical werewolf say?
11 Does he come around here anymore?
Evidently teo can not call him from the vasty deep.
Why, so teo can, or so can any man!
But what does the ethical werewolf say?
"Ring-ding-ding-ding-dingeringeding!"
Wait, no, that's the fox.
To graze the atmosphere, at least, of the OP, the transcript of that conversation is just completely amazing. He talks more about the size of his hands than about Isis.
Which is probably a good thing given how incoherent his comments about ISIS are. He acknowledges that generals say it would take tens of thousands of troops to get involved, but he won't commit to doing that, but he thinks we should "circle" the oil producing regions and take the oil (oh, and Iran's money that we "gave back", which I assume means frozen assets but who the fuck knows). About which you might think the people who live in those regions might have something to say
16 is amazing. I mean, god knows none of us speak in perfect coherent grammatical sentences, but he is just all over the place.
Again, he talks as if he's perpetually sloppy-drunk.
So is this the election thread? Looks like Trump and Clinton both easily won Arizona.
Although Sanders did win Coconino County. It'll be interesting to see the racial breakdown of the exit polls to see if his outreach to Native Americans is having a noticeable effect.
Oh, wait, the NYT is now showing Coconino as "initial results" rather than all precincts reporting. (Seemed a little early for that.) Sanders still ahead, though.
Officer Pupp probably went for Trump.
Nah, I see him as more of a Clinton man. Ignatz, on the other hand...
Sanders and Cruz leading in early returns from Utah. No surprise there.
And the AP has called Utah for Sanders with 15% reporting.
So I guess I'm the only person following these primaries? Granted they're not very significant in the big picture.
Anyway, the fact that Sanders seems to be underperforming his statewide results in San Juan County UT so far suggests that his Native American push is not having significant effects relative to his established advantage among rural white voters.
And Sanders wins Idaho too. Again, no surprise.
Sanders does in fact appear to have won Coconino County with all precincts reporting. Clinton leading in all the other counties.
29: Hard to get too excited about who conservative state Democrats are voting for and I'm not following the GOP race closely. Also, is much in doubt about the nominations at this point? The brokered GOP convention could still happen, I guess.
But awarding delegates proportionally means people can be essentially eliminated long before they're officially out mathematically. In 2008 there were a lot of desperate attempts to make it seem like Clinton was still in the race when the landslide wins she would have needed just weren't going to happen.
Whether or not Trump will show up with a majority of delegates seems like it's in doubt - a lot of the places are winner-takes-all, but often by congressional districts with a bit for the state thrown in so they're at least a little proportional. And the number of delegates assigned to people who have dropped out/the size of the field for a lot of the race/the number of unassigned delegates all adds up to a real possibility that he'll show up with just under the number required to slide through without a fuss. Whether that would amount to a brokered convention or not is a separate question - if he shows up just shy of the majority the Republicans would probably be best off just tossing him enough unassigned delegates to skate through, because forcing a brokered convention and picking someone else would be even worse than a Trump nomination.
Then again I'm not convinced that his chances are as long as 538 wants to set them, if only because the "he's the winner he's going to win" effect is pretty strong in races, and I suspect especially strong in Republican ones given the urge to conform among a lot of conservatives. Also they've had a hilariously poor track record so far whenever they're predicting something that isn't just a matter of aggregating polls. They're good at statistics, but actual political insight turns out to be a different kind of thing..
Clinton has pretty much won the Democratic party nomination though. There was a point where it was possible (if unlikely) for Sanders to pull off a win. But now we're at the "last third of 2008" stage where no one has technically won but the race would need to change massively overnight for the math to work out for Sanders.
Speaking of the primaries, Vox reports that Sanders' fundraising remains extremely strong.
For the second straight month, Sanders relied on small donors to outraise Hillary Clinton, raking in $14 million more in February, according to numbers released on Sunday by the Federal Election Commission.
Sanders has now received $77 million from those giving less than $200, while Clinton has received $32 million from the same category, data from the Campaign Finance Institute shows.
. . .
It's not that Clinton has failed to fundraise among those giving in small amounts.
In February, she pulled in $10.5 million in minor contributions -- by far the most of any candidate in the field except Sanders. And her use of "bundlers" for cash is hardly unusual, even among Democrats: Obama, for instance, drew heavily on them to roll together big checks from the rich.
...
But Sanders has at least proven that there are the dollars and the contributors to power a national presidential campaign essentially through small donors alone.
"There is really another way," Biersack said. "The challenge is to figure out how to strike the match."