Re: Guest Post - Opportunistism

1

At least it's Harvard that controls our future water. Michigan would probably let former Buckeyes dehydrate.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 7:36 AM
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The Harvard endowment lost like 90% of its value in 2008, right? So probably they're betting the wrong way.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 9:03 AM
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3

I thought it was called "crisertunity".


Posted by: fake accent | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 9:16 AM
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I guess the Harvard ideal really is a philosophy not of opportunity but of opportunists.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 9:56 AM
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2: No, FWICT the most value the endowment lost in a single fiscal year was 29% (6/30/08 to 6/30/09, over which same period the S&P lost 26%). Presumably decent risk-balancing.


Posted by: Minivet | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 10:02 AM
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6

So presumably they're holding California almonds too.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 10:07 AM
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This brings to mind Piketty's analysis about how larger college endowments get better returns, with Harvard in a class by itself. Presumably investments like this are one of the reasons why.


Posted by: Dave W. | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 11:13 AM
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I do want to highlight this one line:

"We're having more heat and more drought," says Willy Cunha, a vineyard manager in the county. That has put a premium on land with good water, he says. "It is like California beachfront property. God isn't making any more of it."

Im ded. I mean, you can quibble about net beachfront property, I suppose. Gross, gross beachfront property, though...


Posted by: lurid keyaki | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 11:39 AM
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9

8 would be a good comment, but it definitely isn't here.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 11:41 AM
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Maybe Harvard put all its money into bitcoin and this water thing is them trying to claw back some of their losses.

But seriously, I think this makes a good case for progressive taxation. If the wealthy are able to use their structural advantage to produce higher returns on assets than the rest of us plebes, its appropriate that they pay higher taxes to balance out that advantage.

But I'm guessing Harvard doesn't actually pay taxes?


Posted by: Spike | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 12:31 PM
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To the city they have a Payment In Lieu Of Taxes (PILOT) which I think is about 25% of what they would owe in property taxes if they were for-profit. Income taxes, nothing that I know of.


Posted by: SP | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 1:41 PM
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I think capital gains would be the issue here. Not that I know the answer.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 1:46 PM
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In fact, God is making less beachfront property, by any reasonable definition. The harder question is coastline.


Posted by: Eggplant | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 2:25 PM
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Sinking coastlines tend to be heavily indented, actually. So more beachfront.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 2:29 PM
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Interestingly, in contrast to Piketty's more global assessment, more recently they don't seem to have been outperforming the market, or even tracking it. If I'm reading the reports correctly, on average every year since 2010 their investment return has been 7.6% of net assets, but the S&P's real annualized gains have been 10.6% over the same period.


Posted by: Minivet | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 2:59 PM
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(And if you expand the scope to 2005-2018, the returns come closer but Harvard's are still lower.)


Posted by: Minivet | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 3:05 PM
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In fact, God is making less beachfront property, by any reasonable definition. The harder question is coastline.

But at least it's no longer true that once it's developed, we're stuck with that.


Posted by: heebie-geebie | Link to this comment | 12-17-18 3:29 PM
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18

Anyone else remember when this was the plot of a James Bond movie?


Posted by: sam | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 8:38 AM
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19

Christopher Walken could sell me on anything, tbh.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 8:40 AM
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20

Or you mean the other one, Craig#2? That was not a good movie.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:03 AM
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21

Harvard hired James Bond to manage its endowment? That's going to end badly.


Posted by: lourdes kayak | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:13 AM
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22

Bond. James Bond Bonds.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:15 AM
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18: Wasn't it the plot of a Superman movie? Yes, it was!

Meanwhile, criminal genius Lex Luthor learns of a joint U.S. Army and U.S. Navy nuclear missile test. He then buys hundreds of acres of worthless desert land out west and reprograms the test's two 500 megaton missiles, one of which to detonate inside of California's largest fault line, the San Andreas Fault, which will cause everything west of the fault to sink into the Pacific Ocean and leave Lex's desert as the new West Coast.


Posted by: peep | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:52 AM
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24

I remember that. Luthor's girlfriend pulled the kryptonite off Superman because her mother lived in California.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:55 AM
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25

Spoiler Alert!


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:56 AM
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26

But did Mr Kevin Spacey hold conferences in an airship? Suavely toss his competitors from said airships into the San Francisco Bay? Gleefully deploy Molotov cocktails in confined spaces? Machine-gun his own drowning workforce to an accompaniment of hysterical laughter? No, sir, he did not. These honors belong to Mr Christopher Walken.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:58 AM
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27

Kids today don't even see Gene Hackman.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 10:59 AM
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28

Shit. Whatever. The point still stands.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:00 AM
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29

It has been my lifelong ambition to pull off a really good Christopher Walken impersonation.


Posted by: Barry Freed | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:01 AM
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30

Hot Take: Superman was Brando's best movie except for The Godfather.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:05 AM
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31

Well, get in front of a mirror. You're gonna need it in the desert.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:05 AM
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32

24: I thought her mom lived in Jersey which meant Superman was honor bound to save Jersey first which meant he didn't get to California in time which meant he had to do the time travel thing that made no sense. I hope Harvard's wealth managers have priced all of that in.


Posted by: lourdes kayak | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:23 AM
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33

I haven't seen Brando except in Apocalypse Now which objectively sucked. And Superman I which was really startlingly good.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:26 AM
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32 is probably right.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:27 AM
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33.1 !!!

Just Brando or the whole movie?


Posted by: Barry Freed | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:27 AM
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I guess there must be worse Brando than Last Tango in Paris but I can't think of it right now. Blond British Brando in Burn! was a trip.


Posted by: lourdes kayak | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:41 AM
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30: Have you seen "A Streetcar Named Desire" or "On the Waterfront"? Although I could see thinking that he's trying a little too hard in those.


Posted by: peep | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:41 AM
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38

Brando definitely. The movie as a whole is a mess. IT has great stuff in it (the AirCav sequence! the band-aid speech! The silent mutual throttling scene!) But as a whole, just WTF. Biskind is great on that. Like, the Filipino fixers had actual corpses on location for Kurtz's camp. JFC.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:42 AM
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39

I haven't seen those, but for the former I can extrapolate based on Ned Flanders's portrayal.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 11:43 AM
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40

I can dismiss The Wild Ones by extrapolating from that stupid hat.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 12:02 PM
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41

The movie as a whole is a mess. IT has great stuff in it (the AirCav sequence! the band-aid speech! The silent mutual throttling scene!)

I haven't seen the movie in ages, but in my memory almost all of the scenes of them on the boat on the river are solid (and every time I watch a movie with Lawrence Fishburne I'm tempted to go back and watch Apocalypse Now to marvel at how young he was).


Posted by: NickS | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 12:24 PM
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42

41.2: I could go back and watch myself watching Apocalypse Now to marvel at how young I was.


Posted by: peep | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 12:57 PM
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43

42: But actually I couldn't do that, because I didn't have the foresight to film myself.


Posted by: peep | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 12:57 PM
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44

Best post-Godfather Brando is The Freshman.


Posted by: md 20/400 | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 1:04 PM
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45

I didn't see that either.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 1:06 PM
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46

Christopher Walken (at his current age) would make a great Kurtz.


Posted by: DaveLMA | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 1:07 PM
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47

Brando was terrible in Mutiny on the Bounty, too. Much worse than in Apocalypse Now.


Posted by: DaveLMA | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 1:08 PM
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48

41: Other people are watching Blackish and holy shit did that hit him.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 12-18-18 7:00 PM
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