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Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.02.20

test


 

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Bread.

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.01.20

All right, I have some sourdough starter bubbling on my counter, like the rest of the women in my nationwide stereotype. I was all ready to joke that it was a nonstarter, but nope, it's thriving and I'm throwing half away every day, etc.

I'm also hearing how my friends' recipes took three days and endless folding. Am I doomed? I guess I have three days to fold. Because of air pockets.

I've baked bread before and it turned out fine, but it's been a while, and it never took three days.


 

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Influ-ation

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.01.20

About those yearly flu fatality rates: I had never thought about them twice.

The 25,000 to 69,000 numbers that Trump cited do not represent counted flu deaths per year; they are estimates that the CDC produces by multiplying the number of flu death counts reported by various coefficients produced through complicated algorithms. These coefficients are based on assumptions of how many cases, hospitalizations, and deaths they believe went unreported. In the last six flu seasons, the CDC's reported number of actual confirmed flu deaths--that is, counting flu deaths the way we are currently counting deaths from the coronavirus--has ranged from 3,448 to 15,620, which far lower than the numbers commonly repeated by public officials and even public health experts.
There is some logic behind the CDC's methods. There are, of course, some flu deaths that are missed, because not everyone who contracts the flu gets a flu test. But there are little data to support the CDC's assumption that the number of people who die of flu each year is on average six times greater than the number of flu deaths that are actually confirmed. In fact, in the fine print, the CDC's flu numbers also include pneumonia deaths.

Crazy.

via Jammies


 

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Semi-Weekly Check Ins, Reassurances, and Concerns, 5/1

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.01.20

This is intended to be our system for checking in on imaginary friends, so that we know whether or not to be concerned if you go offline for a while.

Episode 12.


 

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The K-12 problem

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 04.30.20

This is the question I keep coming back to. What's the right answer? Alternating day schedules, with half your students on an A schedule and half your students on a B schedule? I'm very concerned about childcare on the stay-home days. Some sort of afterschool/daycare set up for the "at home" days? Year round school to compensate?

One fear I have is that the teachers will be required to simultaneously tend and serve the kids on their off-day and the kids in person, and we've ratcheted up their workload yet again.

If I had my druthers, I would;
- Hire twice as many teachers
- Take over some empty office space and old malls to help with space issues. I realize that cities would have trouble with this, but anyone with a bit of suburbia probably has some dying malls or underused office parks.
- Let teachers opt to be distance-teachers instead of in-person teachers, and for those kids who are staying at home for any number of reasons, they're assigned a to a dedicated online classrooom with extra services.


One thing that makes me sad is that it will be a long, long time before I can do my best teaching, which is to set up scenarios for students to figure out the material on their own, and relies heavily on them working in groups and me kibbitzing. To do it well means the instructor is monitoring the body language and mood of the individual students, to know when to let them just twist in the wind, when to nudge, etc. I can put them in groups online, but I think it will be a long time before you can assign group work in a classroom. Maybe I'm wrong on that?

What changes have to be made inside a classroom? Do we really attempt to keep kids on lilypads at spread out desks? Or do you just assume that if they wash their hands regularly and limit the total number of students, that's the best you're going to get, so let them be labrador puppies who roll all over each other?


 

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Reading group

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 04.29.20

There was talk in a recent thread about another reading group. The suggestion was Politics Is For Power, but this is a good time to entertain all suggestions if something is burning a hole on your bookshelf.

On a different note, if you're trying to rouse children from bed (and why would you be during a pandemic? I suppose for zoom meetings. We keep some semblance of a schedule because Jammies gets the kids breakfast before he's due for work at 8), may I suggest this terrible/wonderful song?

A version of it was in my family growing up, so I assumed it was from some mid-century musical. Nope. It turns out to be from an 1978 evangelical album with other hits such as "Welcome to Agapeland" and "I Like Knowing God the Best". I am very sure we didn't have the album at home, so I'm guessing one of my siblings brought home that song from daycare or school. Anyway, enjoy.


 

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Brooklyn, Man

Posted by LizardBreath
on 04.28.20

I just heard that a second (that I know of. Could be more, I haven't been deliberately keeping track) Kings County Supreme Court judge has died of coronavirus. First Johnny Lee Baynes, and now Noach Dear. I don't know what the total number of judges is because the website is badly maintained and is definitely missing some, but almost certainly under 50. That's a 4% fatality rate.

It does make sense that Brooklyn Supreme would be a hotspot -- I never understood why it seemed so much busier than Manhattan or Queens, but court appearances there always meant being crammed into a packed courtroom. I wonder what the death toll is among lawyers who had appearances there in late February and early March.


 

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Guest Post - What's Your Silver Lining?

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 04.28.20

Mimsy Chimsy writes: I'll start: Disney is taking it in the balls. (Balls. Not nads, not neuters. The Mouse, he is not woke.)

Heebie's take
: Boy, this is a real Only Nixon Can Go To China guest post. (I am very aware that I am in danger of sounding gratingly upbeat and happy if I answer this question in full.)

I will go with: If this pandemic had to occur during Trump's presidency, you can't fault its timing.


 

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Semi-Weekly Check Ins, Reassurances, and Concerns, 4/28

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 04.28.20

This is intended to be our system for checking in on imaginary friends, so that we know whether or not to be concerned if you go offline for a while.

Episode 11.


 

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Guest Post - for shut-ins?

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 04.27.20

Lw writes: Sufficiently old back issues of Billboard are available as fulltext with ads embedded on Google books.

I was looking to see when the Hi-Hat Club on Rush street closed, and found these pages and pages of Vaudeville reviews from 1942 are transporting reading, a window into a different world where one could sit in a possibly pleasant crowd, listen to live music, and enjoy food and drink. Smoking indoors permitted back then as well.

The ads are amazing-- wrestler wanted, snake show tent for sale (fair condition, $34), great jukebox ad page 63.

Billboard

There's more-- Jet magazine back to the 60s, Computerworld back to before the seventies, Spin from vol1 in 1985, Out magazine, Popular Mechanics, magazines from other countries...

Here's a 1975 discussion of privacy regulation for computer companies:

Computerworld

Heebie's take: This language is just:

Bill here this week is a zinger. Flesh layout provides a snappy 75 minutes of showmanship and sparkling entertainment in good vaude tradition, coupled with the second run of This Gun for Hire. House was almost capacity for the afternoon show.

Happy Felton, one-time bandleader and more recently in Hellzapoppin, does the emsee duties and matches his over-developed avoidupois with an ingratiating personality, pound for pound. Felton works out with the band, each act, and does a beautiful job of pulling the show together.

...

Honi Coles did a show-stopping job. One of the great tap dancers, he wrapped this audience up without half trying. Has everything.
Paul, Dinky and Eddy scored heavily with their swell eccentric dancing, wonderful pantomime and all-around sense of comedy. Routines are fast, with no letdown. Had crowd limp at end.

....

and from the latter:

A possible approach to the development of some standard measures of performance was suggested: A standard measure, whatever it may be, would allow two users to compare numbers so the difference, or variance, would have precisely the same meaning to both, Howard explained.
"If we could devise a standard unit of work, one that applies to any computer system, then the ratio of work to total system cost would provide a true cost/performance index," he added. Perhaps the word "standard is too narrow for present conditions, he said. Instead "let's consider standards as a voluntary and widely applicable set of criteria for measuring performance."

or even just a stray headline: Full Page Devoted to Each Verb In 'Ruggedized' Cobol Handbook.


 

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